Description

This analysis provides a forecast of KAS prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-04-13 0.039202 0.045386 0.051852 0.059085 0.066919 0.075117 0.084317
2025-04-20 0.031374 0.040648 0.050984 0.063206 0.077115 0.092316 0.110049
2025-04-27 0.023514 0.034016 0.046451 0.061889 0.080195 0.100896 0.125767
2025-05-04 0.019587 0.031134 0.045500 0.064026 0.086672 0.112911 0.145083
2025-05-11 0.015570 0.027382 0.042853 0.063560 0.089611 0.120476 0.159012
2025-05-18 0.013398 0.025701 0.042517 0.065699 0.095514 0.131428 0.176867
2025-05-25 0.011479 0.024043 0.041949 0.067331 0.100635 0.141353 0.193471
2025-06-01 0.008951 0.021015 0.039135 0.065687 0.101349 0.145688 0.203183
2025-06-08 0.006898 0.018346 0.036511 0.064025 0.101819 0.149559 0.212211
2025-06-15 0.006016 0.017533 0.036530 0.065954 0.106972 0.159318 0.228541
2025-06-22 0.005061 0.016394 0.035912 0.066879 0.110722 0.167267 0.242631
2025-06-29 0.004490 0.015899 0.036246 0.069142 0.116276 0.177554 0.259706
2025-07-06 0.003494 0.014350 0.034830 0.068913 0.118630 0.184039 0.272488
2025-07-13 0.003361 0.014748 0.036753 0.073815 0.128273 0.200261 0.297940
2025-07-20 0.002431 0.012943 0.034662 0.072444 0.129031 0.204764 0.308435
2025-07-27 0.002080 0.012525 0.034997 0.074819 0.135107 0.216349 0.328101
2025-08-03 0.001515 0.011248 0.033584 0.074309 0.136970 0.222271 0.340447
2025-08-10 0.001282 0.010926 0.033958 0.076668 0.143003 0.233837 0.360187
2025-08-17 0.001044 0.010470 0.034010 0.078464 0.148204 0.244290 0.378516
2025-08-24 0.000650 0.009091 0.031988 0.076654 0.147953 0.247228 0.386916
2025-08-31 0.000369 0.007841 0.030041 0.074823 0.147562 0.249901 0.394920
2025-09-07 0.000288 0.007626 0.030373 0.076948 0.153177 0.260907 0.414028
2025-09-14 0.000194 0.007174 0.030098 0.077966 0.157090 0.269561 0.430039